Tyron Woodley has a history of long layoffs throughout his UFC career, and he also has a track record of winning when he returns. The former welterweight champion comes off 15 months of inactivity when he faces Gilbert Burns on Saturday in the main event of UFC Fight Night: Woodley vs. Burns in Las Vegas. The 11-bout UFC Fight Night card takes place at the promotion’s Apex facility and the main card is set for 9 p.m. ET.

Woodley returned from an 18-month hiatus to defeat Robbie Lawler for the title in July 2016 before making four successful defenses. The sixth-rated Burns has fought five times since Woodley last entered the Octagon and won all of them. Woodley is a -180 favorite (risk $180 to win $100), while Burns is a +155 underdog in the latest MMA odds at William Hill for the May 30 UFC fight card. Before you make any UFC Fight Night: Woodley vs. Burns picks, make sure you see what SportsLine MMA expert Kyle Marley has to say

Marley won the first-ever “ToutMaster” UFC betting contest sponsored by MMAOddsBreaker and also appears regularly on multiple MMA betting and DFS shows. Over the past 15 months, $100 bettors who have followed Marley’s picks are up nearly $20,000. 

At UFC Fight Night on May 16 in Jacksonville, Marley accurately predicted that underdog Alistair Overeem (+145) would finish Walt Harris (-165) in a battle of heavyweight contenders. The MMA analyst reasoned the veteran Overeem’s more varied skill set would be the difference. He was proven correct after Overeem survived an early flurry and got the fight to the mat, where he finished Harris with ground-and-pound in the second round. Anyone who has consistently followed Marley is way up. 

Now, with UFC Fight Night on May 30 fast approaching, Marley has carefully studied every matchup on the card, identified the best value in the UFC odds and released his MMA picks for every fight. Those selections are only available at SportsLine

Woodley vs. Burns preview

The MMA handicapper knows the May 30 main event will likely be a major turning point in the careers of both fighters. Woodley has seen one of the most successful runs in UFC welterweight history marred by inactivity due to various injuries and criticism from what some observers view as a conservative fighting style. 

Woodley (19-4-1) memorably knocked out Robbie Lawler in the first round of their July 2016 bout to win the title and made four successful title defenses. But he was listless in his lopsided decision loss to Usman, who used his wrestling and cage control to dominate their fight. The former champion turned 38 in April and a loss to Burns could mean a long road back to title contention.

Burns (18-3) heads to the Apex facility as one of the promotion’s hottest fighters. The 33-year-old Brazilian has flirted on the outskirts of the rankings since making his UFC debut in 2014. But he has been on a roll since a July 2018 loss to Dan Hooker, with a series of impressive outings among his five consecutive victories. 

Burns knocked out revered submission specialist Demian Maia in March and immediately asked for a bout with a top contender. He called for a fight with Woodley on social media and the former champion obliged. You can see Marley’s full Woodley vs. Burns predictions and picks here.

Top UFC Fight Night predictions for May 30

We’ll reveal one of Marley’s UFC Fight Night predictions for the May 30 card here: He is backing Casey Kenney (-260) to get the best of Louis Smolka (+210) in a bantamweight clash.

Kenney (13-2-1) made two appearances on “Dana White’s Contender Series” in 2017 but wasn’t offered a contract after going 1-1 in those bouts. He eventually received the nod in March 2019 and defeated former title challenger Ray Borg in his UFC debut. But the 29-year-old is looking to bounce back from a decision loss to Merab Dvalishvili in February.

Smolka (16-6) is in his second UFC stint after making his initial appearance in 2014. The 28-year-old has won five of his last six fights and is coming off a first-round stoppage of Ryan McDonald in September.

“Smolka’s willingness to accept takedowns could be his downfall because I see Kenney racking up multiple takedowns in each round,” Marley told SportsLine. “He’s the rightful favorite.”

How to make UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Woodley picks 

Marley also has strong picks for Burns vs. Woodley and every other bout on the May 30 Fight Night card. He’s also backing one fighter because of their “standout ground game.” You can see those selections at SportsLine

Who wins Burns vs. Woodley? And how exactly does each fight end? Visit SportsLine now to get detailed picks on every fight on the UFC Fight Night card on May 30, all from the accomplished expert who’s up almost $20,000 on MMA bets, and find out.

UFC Fight Night: Woodley vs. Burns odds

Tyron Woodley (-180) vs. Gilbert Burns (+155)
Augusto Sakai (-110) vs. Blagoy Ivanov (-110)
Mackenzie Dern (-410) vs. Hannah Cifers (+320)

Roosevelt Roberts (-310) vs. Brok Weaver (+250)

Katlyn Chookagian (+115) vs. Antonina Shevchenko (-135)

Billy Quarantillo (-135) vs. Spike Carlyle (+115)

Jamahal Hill (-125) vs. Klidson Abreu (+105)

Tim Elliott (-175) vs. Brandon Royval (+150)

Louis Smoka (+210) vs. Casey Kenney (-260)

Chris Gutierrez (-110) vs. Vince Morales (-110)