FIGHT NIGHT is again!
With record-setting spikes in COVID-19 constructive checks throughout the nation creating unease about the way it might affect what sports activities followers hope to see from MLB and the NBA in late July and soccer come September, the Final Preventing Championship is about to placed on an eighth present in seven weeks tonight on the UFC’s Apex Facility in Las Vegas.
Thanks, Dana White. The dude hasn’t blinked at criticism galore from the media and politicians.
And hey, let’s get pleasure from this card tonight. Why, you ask? Nicely, for the primary time in two months, we gained’t be afforded UFC betting alternatives per week from at this time.
The promotion takes a much-deserved weekend off earlier than delivering 4 exhibits in a three-week stretch on Struggle Island. I previewed a few of these festivities earlier this month.
Now let’s hit on tonight’s story traces earlier than attending to my picks that — by the way in which — cashed at a 4-1 clip final Saturday for five.68 models of revenue!
Dustin ‘The Diamond’ Poirier went on a tear in 2017 and 2018, defeating Jim Miller earlier than ripping off 4 straight wins over three former champions (Anthony ‘Showtime’ Pettis, Eddie Alvarez and Max Holloway) and one present interim champ (Justin Gaethje), ending Gaethje, Alvarez and Pettis.
The Lafayette, LA., product gained the interim light-weight strap together with his unanimous-decision win over Holloway, who was the featherweight kingpin on the time. It set him up in opposition to reigning light-weight champ and undefeated Khabib Nurmagomedov in Abu Dhabi at UFC 242.
Within the largest combat of his life, Poirier got here up quick just like the 27 earlier others who had confronted Nurmagomedov, who gained the scrap by third-round submission (rear-naked choke).
Since that September 7 loss within the desert, Poirier has had the longest layoff of his profession. It speaks to his exercise throughout his storied profession that his most prolonged break has been lower than 10 months.
It’s given Poirier the time to heal up bodily and maybe even extra necessary, get better emotionally from arising quick his final outing. I’m of the assumption that it’s been simply what the physician ordered for Poirier to make one other run on the title.
Does that begin tonight, or does Dan ‘The Hangman’ Hooker produce other plans? Can the fifth-ranked New Zealander win his fourth consecutive combat (and enhance to 8-1 since June of 2018 within the course of) as a +180 underdog?
Within the co-main occasion, will Mike ‘Platinum’ Perry snap out of a 2-5 droop in his final seven Octagon appearances when he makes his 13th profession stroll with none coaches or nook assist apart from his new girlfriend, or is Mickey Gall poised to drag an upset as a beneficiant underdog?
Can Brendan ‘All In’ Allen enhance to 4-Zero within the UFC in opposition to unbeaten promotional newcomer Kyle Daukaus in a welterweight contest?
Will Gian Villante have a clean transition up a weight class in his heavyweight debut, or is 6-foot-7 Maurice Inexperienced poised to bounce again from consecutive losses and provides Villante an unsavory style of what heavyweight fingers really feel like?
Is Luis Pena about to take one other step towards getting a quantity subsequent to his title within the featherweight loop, or will Khama Worthy pull one other upset in his second UFC look?
Let’s see if we will preserve pickin’ and grinnin’ for UFC on ESPN 12: Poirier vs. Hooker.
PICK #1: I’ve acknowledged my case for Poirier, who is best and stronger wherever and all over the place this combat goes. Hooker is a stud, little doubt about it, and his first-round knockout win over Gilbert Burns at UFC 226 is getting old higher than most nice wins. However, I really feel like Poirier to win inside the gap (let’s put 4 models on it) at a -110 value is a present. And hey, when you’ve got a Wager365 account, that store has this prop wager at +120.
PICK #2: My prediction is for Poirier to win by KO/TKO, and I’m considering within the third or fourth spherical. Nevertheless, Poirier has seven profession submission wins, so we’re going to make sure a revenue with the inside-the-distance wager (if he will get a submission as a substitute of a KO). Let’s additionally put one unit on the prop for Poirier to win by KO/TKO for a +125 payout.
PICK #3: It isn’t troublesome to sense how a lot Perry is underestimating Gall within the co-main occasion. No coaches? Verify. No nook assist? Nope. No sport plan? None apart from to win by KO early. And sure, which may occur as a result of Perry is the vastly superior striker if he can preserve the scrap standing. Nevertheless, Gall is best on the bottom, has a four-inch top benefit and a three-inch edge in attain. If Gall can survive Perry’s early surge, I like his probabilities because the combat progresses. He needs to get this combat to the bottom or preserve it in opposition to the fence together with his clinch sport. Give me one-half unit on Gall as a +275 underdog (5Dimes).
PICK #4: Allen (14-Three MMA, 3-Zero UFC) has 13 finishes (eight submissions and 5 KOs) in his 14 profession victories. 13 of his 17 profession contests have resulted in Rounds 1 or 2, with eight concluding within the opening body. Daukaus (9-Zero MMA, 0-Zero UFC) has eight profession submissions and simply two of his 9 profession fights have made it into Spherical 3. Let’s go along with 1.5 models on ‘below’ 1.5 rounds for a +107 return (5Dimes).
PICK #5: Let’s go along with one-half unit on Allen to win inside the gap at a -125 value (William Hill). **Word: In case your value for this prop is North of -140, take into account passing right here.
PICK #6: Worthy took his UFC debut in opposition to Devonte Smith final August on simply 4 days’ discover. All he did was ship a first-round KO victory as a +650 underdog. He’s gained six straight fights. Let’s name for yet another upset with one-half unit on Worthy as a +220 underdog at 5Dimes.
Additionally, right here’s the UFC’s promo trailer for tonight’s headliner, and you’ll right here me clarify my performs on this video on our YouTube channel. If you want, please price, subscribe and all that good things.
Thanks. Better of luck, people, and benefit from the present!