Welcome to the Fast Picks model of UFC 251!
Battle Island has arrived and we begin off July with a bang, among the finest slates of the 12 months up to now which incorporates three title fights and a Milly Maker on DraftKings.
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DraftKings MMA DFS Picks for UFC 251: Usman vs. Masvidal
Kamaru Usman, 8.9k
The present welterweight champion, Kamaru Usman solely prices 8.9k on DraftKings this weekend and our projections point out he is among the prime general performs on the slate.
Usman might be preventing Jorge Masvidal, a tricky opponent and one who may give him hassle in spots, however Usman has an elite stage ability set and could have 5 rounds to work with on Saturday.
Usman is presently -235 to win, and he has already topped 130 factors on DraftKings in his final three victories. MMA is a high-variance sport, however Usman is an efficient wager for value, and has a really excessive flooring and ceiling this weekend.
Even when he wins a choice, Usman lands strikes and takedowns at an excellent excessive fee, and is prone to be aggressive with tournament-winning lineups in a victory.
Amanda Ribas, 9.5k
The heaviest favourite and highest priced fighter on the MMA DraftKings slate, Amanda Ribas is -835 to win and prices 9.5k on Saturday.
She’ll be taking up Paige VanZant, who might be extra expert than the general public offers her credit score for, however Ribas is among the prime prospects within the sport and has high-level expertise each on the ft and on the mat.
Particularly on the bottom, Ribas is a black belt and could have potential to land takedowns and advance place on this matchup. It might be stunning to listen to, however Ribas isn’t projected to be extraordinarily standard this weekend, even together with her odds.
There are three championship favorites priced under Ribas, in addition to another large names, and it’s merely troublesome to spend up all the way in which to the highest.
Ribas has scored 100 and 95 factors in two of her three UFC victories, and gives respectable upside in her matchup this weekend. She’ll make for a fantastic goal in money video games and a powerful contrarian choice in tournaments, if in case you have the additional wage to spend.
Max Holloway, 7.1k
Among the finest Featherweights of all-time, Max Holloway misplaced his belt in 2019 to Alexander Volkanovski, and the 2 will rematch Saturday for the title as soon as once more.
Holloway is an enormous underdog this time, he’s solely +185 to win and is priced down on DraftKings due to it at 7.1k. He nonetheless has great upside, even in a loss, as he has nonetheless landed 6.66 important strikes per minute all through his UFC profession.
Holloway truly scored 67 factors in his loss throughout the first struggle, which might be a high quality rating Saturday once more. Projections point out he has much more upside than that, and can completely crush the slate if he occurs to tug off an upset.
Anticipate Holloway to be standard on Saturday, however he’s an excellent worth play if it’s worthwhile to avoid wasting wage, and continues to be thought-about one of many prime MMA DraftKings on the board.
Raulian Paiva, 8.7k
There are a lot of elite fighters on the DraftKings MMA slate this weekend, and it is extremely troublesome to slender down the participant pool.
Certainly one of my least favourite high-priced choices is Raulian Paiva, who is available in at 8.7k and can very possible want a end inside the space to finish up on the optimum lineup. He’s able to it, however preventing a tricky debuting opponent named Zhalgas Zhamagulov.
Paiva is -180 to win which is powerful, however he’s solely +300 to win ITD. The chances are sturdy that this struggle goes the complete three rounds, and I worry Paiva gained’t land sufficient important strikes or takedowns to prime 90-95 factors in a choice.
For that cause, I might be very mild on Paiva on this slate.
Extra MMA DFS Picks for UFC 251
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